Bayesian and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of the Scale Parameter of a New Weighted Weibull Distribution

Fatima Areebah

Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Prince of Songkla University, Thailand.

Elizabeth Ishagba Aniah-Betiang

Department of Mathematics, Federal College of Education, Obudu, Cross River State, Nigeria.

Collins Aondona Ortese *

Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, Rev. Fr. Moses Orshio Adasu University (Benue State University), Makurdi, Nigeria.

Mustapha Tijani

Department of Applied Mathematics, Federal University of Technology Babura, Jigawa state, Nigeria.

*Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.


Abstract

The newly proposed weighted Weibull distribution is a three-parameter lifetime model characterised by a high degree of flexibility for modelling real-world data. It comprises one scale parameter and two shape parameters, which together govern its adaptability and shape characteristics. Despite the established importance of parameter estimation in model fitting and practical applications, no consensus has yet been reached regarding a universally superior estimation approach for the parameters of this distribution. Accordingly, the present study develops Bayesian estimators for the scale parameter of the weighted Weibull distribution using two non-informative priors (Uniform and Jeffreys) and one informative prior (Gamma). The estimation is carried out under three different loss functions, namely the squared error loss function (SELF), quadratic loss function (QLF), and precautionary loss function (PLF). The resulting Bayesian estimates are compared with the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) approach through Monte Carlo simulation studies. The mean squared error (MSE) is employed as the primary criterion for evaluating and comparing estimator efficiency. The findings indicate that estimators derived under the quadratic loss function consistently exhibit the lowest MSE values across all prior distributions considered. In particular, the Bayesian estimator based on the Gamma prior combined with the quadratic loss function demonstrates superior performance compared to both the maximum likelihood estimator and Bayesian estimators obtained under SELF and PLF with Uniform and Jeffreys priors. Furthermore, variations in the shape parameters are found to have no substantial effect on the performance of the scale parameter estimators. The study concludes by recommending that future research should extend the analysis to the estimation of the shape parameters, which are critical for broader applications of the weighted Weibull distribution.

Keywords: New weighted Weibull distribution, Bayesian analysis, Jeffrey prior distribution, quadratic loss function, maximum likelihood estimation, mean square error


How to Cite

Areebah, Fatima, Elizabeth Ishagba Aniah-Betiang, Collins Aondona Ortese, and Mustapha Tijani. 2026. “Bayesian and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of the Scale Parameter of a New Weighted Weibull Distribution”. Asian Journal of Probability and Statistics 28 (5):73-86. https://doi.org/10.9734/ajpas/2026/v28i5896.

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